June 06, 2019

Here's the Roadmap For the Markets Over the Next Two Weeks...

As I noted yesterday, this rally looks to have legs… for now.

The stock market broke out of its downtrend yesterday (red lines). It remains below resistance (blue line). A break to the upside here, would open the door to a run to 2,900 on the S&P 500.

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Again… this is where credit suggests stocks will move. Junk Bonds hit the equivalent levels of 2,910 on the S&P 500 yesterday.

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This again would confirm my thesis that this rally has a week or more to go.

After that, the real action begins.

The real action will consist of stocks giving up all hope of a China/ US trade deal being made…

Right now stocks are pinning their hopes on President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping coming to some kind of agreement at the G-20 meeting in Osaka Japan on June 28th-June 29th.

This won’t happen.

If it was… the Treasury market would have signaled that we are entering a period of economic stability.

That has not been the case. Treasury yields have continued to drop, telling us that the economy is weakening rapidly… and that NO trade deal is coming.

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Best Regards,

Deo Talaverano.

Chief Market Strategist DHF.

George Town. Cayman Islands.